Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214301          34          49          14           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000703301          25          52          20           3           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   7.36000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.0
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            20.75       56.50       20.00        2.75        0.00     B3.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)