Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213059          34          58           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000667303          28          61           9           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   4.27000e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            34.00       55.50        8.75        1.75        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2