Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213575          36          52          10           2           0        B1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000685179          24          54          18           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.33000e-08          17          67          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                            21.00       55.25       18.75        5.00        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4