Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214732          33          49          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000709232          28          47          22           3           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.02000e-07           7          58          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            21.75       54.00       21.25        3.00        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9