Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214483          33          49          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000699036          23          54          19           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.02000e-07           7          58          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            20.25       56.25       20.25        3.25        0.00     B3.4
 
realized                                                                                      B6.8