Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214074          33          50          14           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000690680          23          55          18           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.95000e-08           5          65          26           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            28.00       52.50       16.75        2.75        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0