Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214005          35          49          13           3           0        B2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000696643          25          52          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   8.67000e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            20.50       57.25       19.00        3.25        0.00     B3.0
 
realized                                                                                      B5.9