Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213413          37          53           8           2           0        B1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000688305          24          53          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.42000e-08          17          68          14           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            26.75       56.25       14.75        2.25        0.00     B2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3