Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213527          36          52          10           2           0        B1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000688217          24          53          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.03000e-08          23          62          14           1           0        B2.0
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            24.50       56.50       16.50        2.50        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9