Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213399          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000683393          26          54          16           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.17000e-08          38          54           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            29.50       55.25       12.75        2.50        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9