Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213385          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000688123          24          53          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   5.89000e-08          25          64          10           1           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            25.75       58.75       13.25        2.25        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5