Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213177          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000677265          28          55          14           3           0        B2.1
GOES Xray  =   3.95000e-08          57          40           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            35.50       51.75       10.75        2.00        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B2.6