Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214813          34          48          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000703647          25          52          20           3           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.20000e-07           8          57          35           0           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                            18.50       52.75       25.50        3.25        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5