Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217377          26          55          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000742699          21          43          29           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   2.49000e-07           4          35          52           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                            14.25       46.75       32.25        6.75        0.00     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4