Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216403          30          50          18           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000732870          24          45          24           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   2.05000e-07           2          45          48           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            19.00       50.50       26.75        3.75        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3