Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216978          26          56          16           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000735856          24          43          26           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   2.40000e-07           3          33          54          10           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.00       43.00       26.25        4.75        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8