Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213513          36          52          10           2           0        B1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000680077          26          55          16           3           0        B2.6
GOES Xray  =   8.94000e-08           5          65          26           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            29.50       53.00       15.25        2.25        0.00     B2.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)