Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213627          35          52          11           2           0        B2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000689069          24          53          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   7.07000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            30.75       53.50       14.00        1.75        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4