Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213151          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000675897          29          55          13           3           0        B2.1
GOES Xray  =   5.42000e-08          33          58           8           1           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            37.25       51.75        9.50        1.50        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)