Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212954          34          58           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000667781          28          61           9           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   3.28000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            43.25       49.00        6.50        1.25        0.00     B1.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)