Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214801          33          49          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000692409          23          54          19           4           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.15000e-07           6          59          33           2           0        B6.0
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            19.75       56.25       21.00        3.00        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                      B5.2