Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213913          35          50          13           2           0        B2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000681300          26          55          16           3           0        B2.6
GOES Xray  =   6.39000e-08          17          67          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                            21.50       56.50       19.25        2.75        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B6.8