Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217403          26          55          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000730227          27          47          21           5           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   2.71000e-07           1          35          58           6           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                            15.25       46.25       33.75        4.75        0.00     B6.3
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0