Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214536          33          49          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000701899          25          52          20           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.13000e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                            17.50       51.50       27.00        4.00        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5