Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215040          33          49          15           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000715064          27          47          22           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.19000e-07           8          57          34           1           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            20.25       52.50       24.50        2.75        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.3