Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215013          34          48          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000716861          26          48          22           4           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   1.13000e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            22.25       53.00       22.00        2.75        0.00     B3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0