Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216449          30          51          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000728364          27          48          20           5           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.97000e-07           5          46          43           6           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                            17.25       49.75       28.25        4.75        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2