Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216391          30          50          18           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000731114          26          47          21           6           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   1.71000e-07          11          48          35           6           0        B7.9
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                            18.00       45.25       31.00        5.25        0.50     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      B7.9