Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218419          18          51          30           1           0        B4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000765022          14          43          36           7           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   2.27000e-07           4          38          52           6           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                            10.50       45.25       38.25        6.00        0.00     B7.8
 
realized                                                                                      C7.7