Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220405           8          44          39           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000790795          13          49          32           6           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.98000e-07           3          22          68           7           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             6.00       29.75       49.75       13.50        1.00     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1