Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226884           2          37          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000871426           3          39          48          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   7.64000e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.25       20.00       51.50       24.50        2.75     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      M5.5