Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213585          36          52          10           2           0        B1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000689249          24          53          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   4.94000e-08          45          48           6           1           0        B1.2
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            31.75       52.75       13.25        2.25        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4