Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215061          32          50          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000713647          27          47          21           5           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.01000e-07           7          60          29           4           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            29.00       49.50       18.50        3.00        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B3.0