Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216861          25          55          18           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000748704          19          43          30           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.37000e-07           7          65          27           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            14.75       54.50       26.50        4.25        0.00     B5.4
 
realized                                                                                      B5.9