Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216488          29          52          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000746245          20          41          30           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.19000e-07           8          57          34           1           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            16.25       51.00       29.00        3.75        0.00     B5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7