Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216411          30          50          18           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000746725          20          42          30           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.26000e-07           7          62          31           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            16.00       52.25       27.75        4.00        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9