Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213927          35          50          13           2           0        B2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000678645          27          56          14           3           0        B2.3
GOES Xray  =   4.65000e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            41.50       47.25        9.75        1.50        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)