Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215690          32          47          19           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000714232          26          48          22           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.05000e-08           8          67          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            29.25       50.50       18.00        2.25        0.00     B2.4
 
realized                                                                                      B3.3