Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215729          32          47          19           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000716380          27          46          23           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   7.28000e-08          11          70          17           2           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            30.25       50.75       17.00        2.00        0.00     B2.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2