Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215647          32          47          19           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000716205          27          46          23           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   6.77000e-08          14          68          17           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            22.75       56.25       18.75        2.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)