Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215075          32          50          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000706003          27          49          21           3           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.59000e-08          17          67          15           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            23.50       57.50       16.75        2.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)