Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215250          31          51          16           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000704876          25          51          21           3           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   5.48000e-08          33          59           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            27.25       55.75       15.50        1.50        0.00     B2.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)