Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215045          33          49          15           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000703343          25          52          20           3           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   5.28000e-08          36          56           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            36.25       49.25       12.75        1.75        0.00     B1.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)