Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213093          35          56           7           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000681602          26          55          16           3           0        B2.6
GOES Xray  =   6.28000e-08          18          66          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            32.25       54.50       11.75        1.50        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)