Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213139          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000685078          24          54          18           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   7.84000e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            24.50       56.75       16.00        2.75        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.7