Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213321          35          54           9           2           0        B1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000690576          23          55          18           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.91000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            22.25       60.50       15.00        2.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B6.2