Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213141          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000693381          24          54          18           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.08000e-08          23          62          14           1           0        B2.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.50       52.50       12.25        1.75        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)