Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212890          35          57           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000690583          23          55          18           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.04000e-08          24          61          14           1           0        B2.0
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.25       53.25       11.75        1.75        0.00     B1.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)