Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212756          34          58           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000687229          24          53          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   5.61000e-08          31          62           7           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.00       53.25       10.25        1.50        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)