Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212588          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000683797          24          55          17           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   4.88000e-08          47          46           6           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            39.50       49.50        9.50        1.50        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7